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Clarification on the yesterday's email about the Black Friday sale for Stock Rover
There is tremendous interest in Stock Rover, especially at the Black Friday sale prices. A question was asked and I checked with the company and here is the clarification from them.
If you sign up for a 2 week free trial today during the Black Friday sale period, you will need to upgrade to a paid plan before Dec 1 to get the discounted prices. Sign up for the free trial as soon as possible so you have enough time to decide if you would like to continue using this tool for your stock research and analysis.
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Market Snapshot - Nov 25, 2025
- Global equities climbed as expectations mounted for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Futures now price in roughly a 70%+ chance after dovish comments. Reuters
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U.S. stock futures are easing this morning after a strong tech‑led rally yesterday, with megacaps like Alphabet Inc. out‑performing and Nvidia Corporation under pressure following a report of chip supply shifts. Reuters
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Oil prices dipped on oversupply concerns despite geopolitical tensions around Russia/Ukraine, signaling caution in commodities even as monetary policy looks looser. Reuters
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European shares were muted ahead of key U.S. data releases (producer inflation, retail sales) — indicating markets are bracing for macro‑information that could sway the rate narrative. Reuters
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The holiday‑shortened week (in the U.S.) shaves volume and heightens the importance of each data release and corporate update. Retailers and consumer‐facing firms are in focus. Barron's
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Actionable Thesis:
Favor companies that are less sensitive to rate surprises (e.g., established industrials, stable consumer staples) and avoid high‐multiple growth names unless they show strong cash conversion and margin resilience. Keep some liquidity ready in case a rate cut surprise triggers a sharp relief rally.
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NVIDIA’s Moat is Leaking: What the Google-Meta Alliance Means for AI Hardware
So Google and Meta are entering into an arrangement where Meta will not purchase TPUs from Google. This is the first time Google is selling TPUs. So far they have only rented them out.
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This was bound to happen sooner or later. Nvidia's current monopoly cannot sustain forever. There are backlogs and long waits for the buyers to get their hands on Nvidia's latest GPUs.
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Speaking of which, a GPU is typically an overkill for the specialized AI related work which can be better handled by ASIC.
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Inner Circle Portfolio Performance
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The portfolio performance is updated once a month, and tracked YTD until the end of the prior month. Performance is tracked as time weighted total return.
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Upgrade to Inner Circle
- My actual Small Cap Value portfolio with highly profitable but under followed stocks and Kelly Criterion optimized weights
- Detailed investment thesis for portfolio stocks, including target prices and expected returns emailed to you as soon as published
- 1 year membership with NO auto-renewal. Repurchase membership again if you wish to continue for another year once your term completes.
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Shannon's Demon Explained: Why Rebalancing Beats Buy-and-Hold Over Time
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I want to tell you about one of the most counterintuitive ideas in all of investing, an idea so strange that when I first encountered it, I spent about an hour with a spreadsheet trying to convince myself it was wrong before I finally accepted that it was right. It is called Shannon's Demon. And once you understand it, you …
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Full Kelly vs. Fractional Kelly: Which Position Sizing Approach Is Right for You?
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Most investors spend enormous effort deciding which stocks to buy and almost no effort deciding how much to buy. That is exactly backwards. In the long run, position sizing will have as much impact on your returns as stock selection and it will have more impact on your survival as an investor. I use the Kelly Criterion as the mathematical …
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My Deep Value Stock Screening Process: From 3,000 Stocks to a Short List of 5
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There are roughly 3,000 publicly traded US companies with a market capitalization under $2 billion. Most of them are not worth your time. A small number of them are great values hiding in plain sight. Genuinely cheap, financially strengthening businesses that the market has overlooked, misunderstood, or written off prematurely. The challenge is finding them without spending your entire life …
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