You’ve heard it before: “cut your losses and let your winners run.” But most investors can’t explain why that rule works. Beneath it lies a deeper logic, born from probability theory and refined by gamblers, traders, and long-term value investors alike. In this article I talk about two competing philosophies, Martingale and Anti-Martingale, and then […]
You’re told to rebalance your portfolio to manage risk. Keep that 60/40 allocation. Sleep better at night. But that’s just the surface. What most investors miss is that rebalancing doesn’t just reduce risk. Done right, it can increase returns. Yes, rebalancing your investment portfolio can actually make you richer. The secret lies in something few
When Rebalancing Makes You Richer: The Rebalancing Bonus Explained Read More »
Intrinsic value is not enough in a world of macro uncertainty You can do everything right as a value investor. Buy below intrinsic value. Demand a margin of safety. Stick to your thesis. And still, your portfolio can suffer when inflation spikes, interest rates lurch, or trade wars disrupt entire sectors. The truth is, intrinsic
How to Build Portfolio Resilience When Macro Shocks Destroy Valuations Read More »
The market may be irrational, but your portfolio doesn’t have to be. Most investors are just hoping for the best in every market cycle. You, on the other hand, can engineer a portfolio that adapts, hedges, and outperforms. This article shows you how to build a dynamic, globally diversified factor-based portfolio, using real ETFs like
How to Build a Factor Based Portfolio That Outperforms in Every Market Cycle Read More »
Most investors think the Kelly Criterion belongs on the blackjack table or in some Ivy League quant’s toolkit. They assume it’s a mathematical toy, not something a grounded, long-term value investor should take seriously. That’s a mistake. Because when used correctly, Kelly sizing can sharpen your capital allocation like a scalpel. In my own small-cap
The Kelly Criterion Isn’t Just for Gamblers. It’s for Serious Value Investors Read More »
Investors Are Quietly Stepping Off the Beaten Path You’re not imagining it. Traditional 60/40 portfolios are underperforming, and the S&P 500 is increasingly top-heavy with a handful of mega-cap stocks masking broader market fragility. As inflation proves sticky, interest rates remain elevated, and geopolitical tensions disrupt global trade, the case for alternative asset classes has
The 5 Alternative Asset Classes That Could Outperform the S&P 500 This Decade Read More »
You already know that your edge comes from buying undervalued stocks and letting them work over time. But even with a sound process and solid research, you keep second-guessing your trades. You hesitate when it’s time to enter. You trim winners too early. You panic when a position dips. The problem isn’t your strategy, it’s
Kelly Criterion Position Sizing: Avoid the Trap of Overbetting and Underbetting Read More »
Why You Should Be Wary of Factor ETFs? You already know that factors like value, momentum, quality, and low volatility have a long track record of outperformance. That’s why the explosion of “factor ETFs” looks so tempting on the surface. But here’s the dirty little secret Wall Street doesn’t advertise: most factor ETFs dilute your
The Dirty Little Secret Behind Most Factor ETFs (And What You Should Do Instead) Read More »
Markets today are both unpredictable and unforgiving. Inflation won’t go quietly. Interest rates are stubborn. Risk assets are twitchy. But amid all this noise, one strategy helps you sidestep paralysis and take calculated risks: the barbell investment strategy. This isn’t about balance. It’s about controlled extremes: combining safe assets on one side and high-reward plays
The Barbell Investment Strategy: How to Play Defense and Offense at the Same Time Read More »
Every investor hits the same wall at some point. You’ve done the research, built conviction in your ideas, and then comes the inevitable question: How much do I invest in each one? Or even broader: How do I spread my capital across different asset classes, ideas, and risk levels? There’s no one-size-fits-all. But there are
40 Portfolio Allocation Strategies for Smarter, Stronger Investing Read More »
